> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.nikiwa.com/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Prediction Markets

> Ask Nikiwa about Polymarket and Kalshi markets: odds, volume, discussion, and social sentiment.

Nikiwa can analyze prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi the same way it analyzes wallets and tokens: ask a question in plain language, or paste a market link, and Nikiwa returns structured odds data alongside a written read of where sentiment and money are heading.

## What you can ask

* Paste a Polymarket event URL or slug (e.g. `world-cup-winner`) to get that event's markets, odds, and volume.
* Ask broad questions like "who will win the World Cup" or "today's most trending markets" and Nikiwa finds the relevant event.
* Ask about a specific trader — a Polymarket username or wallet address — to get their open and closed positions.
* Ask for Kalshi markets on a topic (e.g. "show me Kalshi markets about the Fed").

## What comes back

<CardGroup cols={2}>
  <Card title="Event summary" icon="table">
    Liquidity, open interest, 24h volume, description, and every market/outcome inside the event with live probabilities.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Market discussion" icon="comments">
    Comment counts, top commenters, and reactions from the market's discussion thread.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Social media talk" icon="hashtag">
    A synthesized read of what's being said about the market across social platforms.
  </Card>

  <Card title="AI conclusion" icon="sparkles">
    A written summary of where odds sit, which side has momentum, and how volume is distributed, with cited sources.
  </Card>
</CardGroup>

## Directional and whale analysis

You can ask follow-up questions against an event already in view, such as isolating the largest one-sided positions or excluding bots and market makers. Nikiwa answers from the event-level odds and volume data it has, and says explicitly when a question needs position-level or per-wallet data it doesn't have.

<Note>
  Prediction market answers cite their sources, including Polymarket itself and any web results used to corroborate on-chain odds.
</Note>

<Tip>
  You can also start a Polymarket conversation from its [quick start card](/product/quick-start-cards) on the homepage.
</Tip>
